ABSTRACT
Background: While mortality due to COVID-19 infection has been reportedly low among paediatric oncology patients, changes in healthcare services due to the pandemic have impacted cancer care delivery. This study assessed the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on childhood cancer care worldwide.Methods: A cross-sectional survey was distributed to paediatric oncology providers from June to August 2020. The survey included questions to assess institution characteristics, the number of patients diagnosed with COVID-19, and disruptions and adaptations to cancer care. Responses were analysed at the institutional level.Findings: The survey was completed by 311 healthcare professionals at 213 institutions in 79 countries. Most centres had the capacity to test for SARS-CoV-2 (88%) and a median of two infections (range: 0-350) reported in children with cancer. Seven percent of centres reported complete closure of paediatric haematology-oncology services (median ten days). Overall, 43% of centres reported fewer than expected paediatric cancer diagnoses and 34% reported increased treatment abandonment. Institutions described reductions in clinical staff (66%) and decreased financial support (32%). Changes to cancer care delivery included: reduced surgical care (79%), blood product shortages (60%), chemotherapy modifications (55%), and interruptions to radiotherapy (40%). The decreased number of new cancer diagnoses did not vary based on country income status (p=0.1). However, lack of chemotherapy, treatment abandonment, and blood product shortages were more frequent in low- and middle-income countries (p=0.022; p<0.001; p=0.021, respectively). These findings did not vary based on institutional or national number of COVID-19 cases. Hospitals reported new or adapted checklists (68%), processes for communication (63%), and guidelines for essential services (56%) as a result of the pandemic.Interpretation: The COVID-19 pandemic has considerably impacted the care of paediatric oncology patients worldwide, posing significant disruptions to cancer diagnosis and management. While paediatric cancer care has been affected globally, this impact is more pronounced in low-and middle-income countries.Funding Statement: This work was supported by the American Lebanese Syrian Associated Charities (ALSAC).Declaration of Interests: The authors declare no competing interests.Ethics Approval Statement: This study was exempted by the institutional review board at St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , NeoplasmsABSTRACT
Background: Cancer and multiple non-cancer conditions are considered by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) as high risk conditions in the COVID-19 emergency. Professional societies have recommended changes in cancer service provision to minimize COVID-19 risks to cancer patients and health care workers. However, we do not know the extent to which cancer patients, in whom multi-morbidity is common, may be at higher overall risk of mortality as a net result of multiple factors including COVID-19 infection, changes in health services, and socioeconomic factors. Methods: We report multi-center, weekly cancer diagnostic referrals and chemotherapy treatments until April 2020 in England and Northern Ireland. We analyzed population-based health records from 3,862,012 adults in England to estimate 1-year mortality in 24 cancer sites and 15 non-cancer comorbidity clusters (40 conditions) recognized by CDC as high-risk. We estimated overall (direct and indirect) effects of COVID-19 emergency on mortality under different Relative Impact of the Emergency (RIE) and different Proportions of the population Affected by the Emergency (PAE). We applied the same model to the US, using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program data. Results: Weekly data until April 2020 demonstrate significant falls in admissions for chemotherapy (45-66% reduction) and urgent referrals for early cancer diagnosis (70-89% reduction), compared to pre-emergency levels. Under conservative assumptions of the emergency affecting only people with newly diagnosed cancer (incident cases) at COVID-19 PAE of 40%, and an RIE of 1.5, the model estimated 6,270 excess deaths at 1 year in England and 33,890 excess deaths in the US. In England, the proportion of patients with incident cancer with [≥]1 comorbidity was 65.2%. The number of comorbidities was strongly associated with cancer mortality risk. Across a range of model assumptions, and across incident and prevalent cancer cases, 78% of excess deaths occur in cancer patients with [≥]1 comorbidity. Conclusion: We provide the first estimates of potential excess mortality among people with cancer and multimorbidity due to the COVID-19 emergency and demonstrate dramatic changes in cancer services. To better inform prioritization of cancer care and guide policy change, there is an urgent need for weekly data on cause-specific excess mortality, cancer diagnosis and treatment provision and better intelligence on the use of effective treatments for comorbidities.